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Sep 27, 2012
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we could grow the economy. that's what governor romney is going to try to do and i think eventually that will be reflected in the polls. >> when i look at my own state, our governor quinn has let a few slips, call them freudian slips almost hinting that should illinois get in big trouble, probably the federal government will find a way to help. this is nothing that i want to hear even talked about indirectly. do you think this will be an issue at some point? >> it could be. and let me be very clear. in nebraska and all across america, i just chaired the national governor's association this past year. americans do not want the federal government to bail out states that have failed, that have failed to adopt a balanced budget, that they continue to raise taxes. that's not what we want as americans. we want states to control their spending, create more jobs. so i certainly don't think the federal government ought to bail out a state like illinois or california if they can't do it themselves. >> governor, it's been
we could grow the economy. that's what governor romney is going to try to do and i think eventually that will be reflected in the polls. >> when i look at my own state, our governor quinn has let a few slips, call them freudian slips almost hinting that should illinois get in big trouble, probably the federal government will find a way to help. this is nothing that i want to hear even talked about indirectly. do you think this will be an issue at some point? >> it could be. and let...
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Sep 27, 2012
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economy. stick around. for over 60,000 california foster children, extra curricular activities help provide a sense of identity and a path to success. joining the soccer team. getting help with math. going to prom. i want to learn to swim. it's hard to feel normal, when you can't do the normal things. to help, sleep train is collecting donations for the extra activities that, for most kids, are a normal part of growing up. not everyone can be a foster parent... but anyone can help a foster child. >>> israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu has just finished addressing the u.n., and here is what is making news right now. netanyahu just said iran will have enough enriched uranium to build a bomb by next summer. and he says the world must set a clear "red line" that iran cannot be allowed to cross in its quest for nuclear weapons. of course this is the big political story of the day. but you'd better believe it is something the oil traders are watching very closely as well and could really move those markets
economy. stick around. for over 60,000 california foster children, extra curricular activities help provide a sense of identity and a path to success. joining the soccer team. getting help with math. going to prom. i want to learn to swim. it's hard to feel normal, when you can't do the normal things. to help, sleep train is collecting donations for the extra activities that, for most kids, are a normal part of growing up. not everyone can be a foster parent... but anyone can help a foster...
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Oct 3, 2012
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the service sector, the bigger part of the economy. this september number we're expecting, basically a lateral move. 53.7 was our last look and we're also coming off of several other data points. adp was better than expected at 162. high ironic, we stripped away last month's revision. we could argue about the fed in qe 3 but initially re-fis have popped and we're waiting for it, the markets are moving a little bit. equities are 55.1. they've had it. they started to rally. much better than expected. much better than our last look and it's the best number going back to march. march when you had a number of 56.0. we've pretty much taken away the down on equities and we've moved the basis point higher on tens to a middle of five-basis point closing range over the last week and that is at 163. melissa lee, back to you. >> thank you very much, rick santelli. slight pop in the equity market. steve? >> really interesting number here. rick said stronger than expected along with the ism manufacturing number. the business activity number, up to a
the service sector, the bigger part of the economy. this september number we're expecting, basically a lateral move. 53.7 was our last look and we're also coming off of several other data points. adp was better than expected at 162. high ironic, we stripped away last month's revision. we could argue about the fed in qe 3 but initially re-fis have popped and we're waiting for it, the markets are moving a little bit. equities are 55.1. they've had it. they started to rally. much better than...
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Oct 4, 2012
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growth economy is slowing. if you're used to 5%, 10%, the impact that that has on energy, on materials, on all sorts of things is pretty significant. both for china and its implications for the rest of the world is pretty significant. >> you say 4% to 5% might be a reasonable return expectation in a domestic stock portfolio for next year. if i'm not satisfied with that, i'm greedy, i want more than that, where can i enhance my return under the scenario you predict? >> i would get similar returns still from the high-yield area. high yield acts like equities. you're not really changing your risk profile there but i'm also really interested in the emerging market areas. >> but not china. >> not china itself. that's true. it depends on some of the monetary policy, changes they may now make. but at this point, no, i agree. >> we have to leave it there. you called the market right. you said 15%. that's where we are. thanks for being with us. >>> let's go to seema for a market flash. >> we got a lot of ipos this week.
growth economy is slowing. if you're used to 5%, 10%, the impact that that has on energy, on materials, on all sorts of things is pretty significant. both for china and its implications for the rest of the world is pretty significant. >> you say 4% to 5% might be a reasonable return expectation in a domestic stock portfolio for next year. if i'm not satisfied with that, i'm greedy, i want more than that, where can i enhance my return under the scenario you predict? >> i would get...
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Oct 1, 2012
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good read on the economy with maria's exclusive interview there in san francisco with the president of oracle corp, mark hurd. i'll see you tomorrow. >>> and it is 4:00 on wall street. do you know where your money is? hi, everybody, welcome back to "the closing bell." i'm maria bartiromo coming to you today from san francisco. we're following up the close this monday night. stocks losing steam in the final hours of trading today. dow industrials had a rip roaring day, thebest, up as many as 161 points. after stronger than expected manufacturing data set the tone this morning for this market. stocks gave back much of the gains after federal reserve chairman ben bernanke defended the central bank's latest bond buying stimulus program. is that a red flag that this fed-fueled rally is in trouble? top strategists are weigh in tonight. take a look at how we're finishing the day on wall street. as you can see, things settled out, dow jones industrial average held on to a double-digit move, although well off of that 161-point rally. the nasdaq went negative, although it, too, came back off of
good read on the economy with maria's exclusive interview there in san francisco with the president of oracle corp, mark hurd. i'll see you tomorrow. >>> and it is 4:00 on wall street. do you know where your money is? hi, everybody, welcome back to "the closing bell." i'm maria bartiromo coming to you today from san francisco. we're following up the close this monday night. stocks losing steam in the final hours of trading today. dow industrials had a rip roaring day,...
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Sep 27, 2012
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and while congress stalls, the economy appears to be stalling. economic data showing a slowdown. and forget december 31st. is the fiscal cliff impact already here? the president slamming trickle-down economics. but isn't that exactly what the fed is doing? why the so-called fed effect stinks for the little guy. plus, guess who's not paying their fair share in taxes. the federal government. a story you will not want to
and while congress stalls, the economy appears to be stalling. economic data showing a slowdown. and forget december 31st. is the fiscal cliff impact already here? the president slamming trickle-down economics. but isn't that exactly what the fed is doing? why the so-called fed effect stinks for the little guy. plus, guess who's not paying their fair share in taxes. the federal government. a story you will not want to
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Sep 26, 2012
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economy. they are trying to squeeze it to use quantitative easing to help asset prices mostly in stocks. what happens is the distortions are going into the second derivative. it gets very difficult to tell risk on risk off what's real, what's memorex. simply the issues in europe are the poster child. the u.s. has similar ones but the issues are running much ahead of the cure or medicine. the deterioration in the economic horizons, whether france is moving into recession, spain moving into junk in terms of ratings agencies. those are real world economic fundamentals causing the treasury market and the safe harbors to reprice again. what's fascinating is if you look at a chart today we had new home sales. wasn't a bad number. best since basically 2010. if you go back to 2000 and look at the chart, all of 2004 and 2005 was above one million annualized units. the fundamentals near term are improving but in the big picture they're not. now you look at the chart of ten years. we are at a three-week
economy. they are trying to squeeze it to use quantitative easing to help asset prices mostly in stocks. what happens is the distortions are going into the second derivative. it gets very difficult to tell risk on risk off what's real, what's memorex. simply the issues in europe are the poster child. the u.s. has similar ones but the issues are running much ahead of the cure or medicine. the deterioration in the economic horizons, whether france is moving into recession, spain moving into junk...
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Oct 3, 2012
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make him the perfect person to turn the economy around. a former vice chair of the federal reserve will join us to make the case against a ceo in the white house. that's something you'll want to hear. bane sure to tune in tonight. the first presidential debate between governor romney and president obama. it gets underway here on cnbc at 8:00 p.m. eastern time. stay tuned. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 this morning, i'm going to trade in hong kong. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 after that, it's on to germany. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 then tonight, i'm trading 9500 miles away in japan. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 with the new global account from schwab, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i hunt down opportunities around the world tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 as if i'm right there. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and i'm in total control because i can trade tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 directly online in 12 markets in their local currencies. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i use their global research to get an edge. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 their equity ratings show me how schwab tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 rates specific foreign st
make him the perfect person to turn the economy around. a former vice chair of the federal reserve will join us to make the case against a ceo in the white house. that's something you'll want to hear. bane sure to tune in tonight. the first presidential debate between governor romney and president obama. it gets underway here on cnbc at 8:00 p.m. eastern time. stay tuned. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 this morning, i'm going to trade in hong kong. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 after that, it's on to germany....
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how is printing more money good for the economy? >> well, think about the tesla, it misallocates capital into the wrong places. you give a lot of money, that's low interest rate, easy to get and certainly some corporations have benefited. certainly doesn't seem to dir t directdirec directly correlate. >> you sound like a politician, rick, you sound exactly like a politician. you're absolutely right. >> a lot of debate about this policy. a lot of debate about the policy, but no doubt about it, when you look at the equity market -- >> we don't have to worry about the policy until 2015. >> don't fight the fed. we'll see about that. thank, everybody. see you soon. we appreciate your time tonight. >> we have to fight the clock today. have you ever tried to have a conversation with people who are miles away from you all at the same time th? that's not easy. we anchor well together, maria. >> yes, bill. >> 50 minutes left. the 160-point gain on the dow is half gone. 100-point gain right now as we head toward "the closing bell." maria? >> a
how is printing more money good for the economy? >> well, think about the tesla, it misallocates capital into the wrong places. you give a lot of money, that's low interest rate, easy to get and certainly some corporations have benefited. certainly doesn't seem to dir t directdirec directly correlate. >> you sound like a politician, rick, you sound exactly like a politician. you're absolutely right. >> a lot of debate about this policy. a lot of debate about the policy, but no...
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Oct 4, 2012
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they'll drive the economy the wrong way. and when it came to closing loopholes, the only loophole he was willing to talk about, i wish he had talked about closing the kerry loophole. that would have been an interesting one. that's a big inexcusable one. but instead he said he'd get rid of big bird. as we all know, that's not going to do it. he's just not honest on either the tax side or the revenue side. but, look. i used to work at boston consulting group, too. mitt is a great presenter, and he made a good presentation last night. >> and i assume you have thoughts on -- and i don't want to get too much into the style because that is all anyone's talking about today. but you must have some explanation for why the president appeared the way he did and why he chose to leave out some bullet points that he could have pulled out of his pocket. >> sure, look. i think the president focused on the facts and focused on his accomplishments and his plans for the future. and he was very factual in what he did. and as many people have sa
they'll drive the economy the wrong way. and when it came to closing loopholes, the only loophole he was willing to talk about, i wish he had talked about closing the kerry loophole. that would have been an interesting one. that's a big inexcusable one. but instead he said he'd get rid of big bird. as we all know, that's not going to do it. he's just not honest on either the tax side or the revenue side. but, look. i used to work at boston consulting group, too. mitt is a great presenter, and...
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Oct 2, 2012
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can you crack the calculus for growth in this economy? the answer for us is yes, we have been able to crack that calculus for growth. we haven't wasted the crisis. i guess that's the key. we've been able to ensure we can continue to increase investments in our brands, and that's why our brands are more relevant today and healthier today than they've been for all our history. >> where is it most challenging right now for you in the world? >> i think probably europe certainly is going to continue to go through some difficult times. not any worse than it's been. it is stabilizing. but it certainly is not going to see a recovery immediately. the recovery is going to be long in europe. in the united states, i think -- >> yeah, how about the u.s.? >> i believe that u.s. is going to lead the world out of this current stalemate for sure. we see some improving signs, consumer sentiment in the united states. housing is coming back in the united states. we're investing. we've invested $10 billion in the u.s. market over the last three years. we do s
can you crack the calculus for growth in this economy? the answer for us is yes, we have been able to crack that calculus for growth. we haven't wasted the crisis. i guess that's the key. we've been able to ensure we can continue to increase investments in our brands, and that's why our brands are more relevant today and healthier today than they've been for all our history. >> where is it most challenging right now for you in the world? >> i think probably europe certainly is going...
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economy phil la superbowl behind the wheel for us. i want to ask you, look on at the on year numbers, don't look barked the on month numbers, tells a different story, doesn't it? >> yeah. month to month has been different than year-over-year, year-over-year, looking at gains between 11 and 12%. look at the numbers for the month of september. um see better-than-expected numbers, generally speaking, hay cross the board. toyota coming in, gain of 41.5%. better than expected, as was honda and chrysler. gm and ford roughly in line with expectation. we mentioned toyota. the reason so many people are focused on toyota is because the gains picked up in the last couple of months for them. that company ford narrowed considerably, only 3,000 vehicle sales behind ford. an expanded lineup, 103% is substantial. i want to look at the big three market share. we crunched these numbers and you can see that there is a bit of a gain last year, the problems with honda and toyota well documented. this year, as two automatics have come back, seen the big th
economy phil la superbowl behind the wheel for us. i want to ask you, look on at the on year numbers, don't look barked the on month numbers, tells a different story, doesn't it? >> yeah. month to month has been different than year-over-year, year-over-year, looking at gains between 11 and 12%. look at the numbers for the month of september. um see better-than-expected numbers, generally speaking, hay cross the board. toyota coming in, gain of 41.5%. better than expected, as was honda and...
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Sep 28, 2012
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and fade the economy. sell materials because those are exposed to the global economy. it makes some sense in theory. but the world doesn't act that way anymore. so look what's happened. the overall market has done very well. i'm sticking with sectors for the month. but this is true for the quarter as well. if you're fading materials, it doesn't make sense. it's been one of the big gainers. energy stocks have been big gainers. so a whole market has been lifted because of the actions of the federal reserve. take a look at the global indices. that hasn't worked that well this month or quarter at all. spain, germany and brazil have outperformed the s&p 500. and even china, while it isn't doing great, i'm not making any claims it is, it's almost on the par with the united states so far this month. my point here, carl, is don't fight ben bernanke. if he came out and said, ladies and gentlemen, me and mr. drogy and i want people to buy stewed prunes, everybody should listen carefully. you may think it's wrong, but i sure would not go out and short stewed prunes on that idea.
and fade the economy. sell materials because those are exposed to the global economy. it makes some sense in theory. but the world doesn't act that way anymore. so look what's happened. the overall market has done very well. i'm sticking with sectors for the month. but this is true for the quarter as well. if you're fading materials, it doesn't make sense. it's been one of the big gainers. energy stocks have been big gainers. so a whole market has been lifted because of the actions of the...
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Sep 26, 2012
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economy, we're watching materials as well today. typically these react most when we have these increase concerns about the problems in the eurozone, the ongoing problems and the lack of progress in actually dealing with those problems. higher expenses at apply there. that stock is likely to be a big mover today. we want to note american greeting signal a.m. receiving an offer to go private from the weis family. again, still no open for the ipo. >> let's shift to the bonds and the dollar. good morning, rick. >> good morning, carl. like an answering machine, there's a loop and the markets have a loop and we're seeing this loop again and we all know what it is. let's look at some one-month charts. it's starting to come down. you can see aggressively the boon chart, over the sea, over the pond. their rates on the ten-year maturity are looking very similar. also moving down. well, what's moving up? let's look at a one-month chart of two-year maturities in spain. you can see what's kicking up. about 25 basis points. you can see what's kic
economy, we're watching materials as well today. typically these react most when we have these increase concerns about the problems in the eurozone, the ongoing problems and the lack of progress in actually dealing with those problems. higher expenses at apply there. that stock is likely to be a big mover today. we want to note american greeting signal a.m. receiving an offer to go private from the weis family. again, still no open for the ipo. >> let's shift to the bonds and the dollar....
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Sep 27, 2012
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economy before today's data. but it does make you worry some when you see those cap ex numbers, the shipments and the core capital goods orders and it is revisions to them. but i do think that that is more sentiment based and that as we come through this next couple of months, that you'll start to see a more -- people more apt to look at the dollar as the right place to be. >> mike murphy, go ahead. >> fundamentally, i'm agreeing with you on a lot of the points. but the old saying, don't fight the fed, you look at what's going on, there's talk that china is going to add additional stimulus tonight. but looking at this trade, if stimulus keeps coming into the market, gold is up almost 1.5% today. across the board, commodities are up. isn't it hard to be on the other side of bernanke, the ecb and china all at once? >> we tend to look at commodities as being a supply demand play. and when we look at demand, supply is adequate in most of these commodities. when we look at demand coming mostly from china, in a lot of
economy before today's data. but it does make you worry some when you see those cap ex numbers, the shipments and the core capital goods orders and it is revisions to them. but i do think that that is more sentiment based and that as we come through this next couple of months, that you'll start to see a more -- people more apt to look at the dollar as the right place to be. >> mike murphy, go ahead. >> fundamentally, i'm agreeing with you on a lot of the points. but the old saying,...
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Sep 28, 2012
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the most important issues are jobs, economy, how you're going to get this economy moving again. so i think on both sides, this has become a false debate over should we tax or should we not tax the wealthy. i think it really takes the focus off the bigger issue, which wealthy voters are really looking at. maybe raise their taxes, maybe not. that's not even what's important for the wealthy themselves. what's important is how to grow again. >> and how do you grow when you're facing $16 trillion in debt? you have to make tough decisions like the entitlements. >> free cell phones. >> give them free cell phones. >> back to the tax question. i think it is key to solving the deficit problem. the tax plan that i would love someone to put forward, and i'm not sure anyone has, is lower every rate and close every loophole. lower every rate on businesses. yes, on millionaires and billionaires. close all the loopholes, which generally favor the wealthy. they favor the large corporations. what that would do, obviously, is broaden the base. but it would help small businesses. >> absolutely. who
the most important issues are jobs, economy, how you're going to get this economy moving again. so i think on both sides, this has become a false debate over should we tax or should we not tax the wealthy. i think it really takes the focus off the bigger issue, which wealthy voters are really looking at. maybe raise their taxes, maybe not. that's not even what's important for the wealthy themselves. what's important is how to grow again. >> and how do you grow when you're facing $16...
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Sep 27, 2012
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i want you to help get the economy going. we need to get jobs and deliver affordable health care in an efficient manner. >> as a devout -- i'm a nut cake giants fan. but you have run an amazing franchise down there. >> thank you. >> you have truly run an amazing franchise. i hope the giants beat the patriots twice or three times this year, but you've been a fabulous owner. >> they've been pretty good at beating us. they're a great franchise. and before the patriots were created in 1960, i was a giant fan. that's who i used to watch. >> great stuff. thank you. robert kraft, thank you, sir. you're wonderful to come out here. i appreciate it. very old and dear friend. coming up, we'll play where's obama. no, not where's waldo, where's obama. every world leader is meeting at the u.n. this week and our president has not met with a single one of them. it's an outrage. i think mitt romney is a fool if he doesn't jump on this issue. that's next up on the "kudlow report." tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 let's talk about low-cost investing. tdd#:
i want you to help get the economy going. we need to get jobs and deliver affordable health care in an efficient manner. >> as a devout -- i'm a nut cake giants fan. but you have run an amazing franchise down there. >> thank you. >> you have truly run an amazing franchise. i hope the giants beat the patriots twice or three times this year, but you've been a fabulous owner. >> they've been pretty good at beating us. they're a great franchise. and before the patriots were...
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economy is doing better than the world right now. europe is not dealing with its fiscal problems, not dealing with the economic growth problems and i think there is still a lot of adjustments necessary in china and in asia because of the chinese problems and the united states we are gradually move ago long. we're gradually growing i think building momentum, particularly in housing and orders and i think that should allow the u.s. manufacturing sectors should be doing a bit better than around the world and that inneed is the days. >> do you believe we can hold onto growing plus 50 numbers through year end? i know barring all the vasslations in the individual data, can we built on this? >> it is a close call in manufacturing. of course we are affected by what's going on around the world in manufacturing. in the broader economy if you look at the housing sector, the consumer sector, various service sectors, yes, i think the u.s. economy can continue to grow steadily and pick up moment unas we get into next year. >> the market is reactin
economy is doing better than the world right now. europe is not dealing with its fiscal problems, not dealing with the economic growth problems and i think there is still a lot of adjustments necessary in china and in asia because of the chinese problems and the united states we are gradually move ago long. we're gradually growing i think building momentum, particularly in housing and orders and i think that should allow the u.s. manufacturing sectors should be doing a bit better than around...
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the economy. as to the specific measures that they undertake, old habits die hard and respecting the independence of the federal reserve, you're not going to get me to make a comment, evaluating those measures one way or the other, but i think that the judgment that monetary policy should be oriented to domestic economic strength is the right basic approach for monetary policy to take. >> does it surprise you to see the euro at $1.28 to $1.30, because that surprises me. >> i've long ago given up being surprised by currency values. the only forecast you can make is the famous jpmorgan forecast that they will fluctuate. >> i know that you are going to be looking at tax reform and the idea of whether or not we can cut marginal rates because this has been so discussed in this election cycle. mitt romney has laid out a plan to bring down marginal rates and try and get rid of a lot of the deductions. does that work in your opinion? >> look, i think we always want marginal rates as low as we can have the
the economy. as to the specific measures that they undertake, old habits die hard and respecting the independence of the federal reserve, you're not going to get me to make a comment, evaluating those measures one way or the other, but i think that the judgment that monetary policy should be oriented to domestic economic strength is the right basic approach for monetary policy to take. >> does it surprise you to see the euro at $1.28 to $1.30, because that surprises me. >> i've long...
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what does this say about our economy and about what's going on in china? joins us is david, lenov ooleno president of north america. how did this get decided, and when does it all come down? >> what we will announce today is we're expanding or facility in north carolina to bring u.s. manufacturing starting in january through our think product portfolio. our think pad notebooks and think server workstations and servers. we're very excited about this. it's really bringing a differentiator for us versus the market. we believe there's a customer demand for u.s. manufacturing not only for the manufacturing presence but also what we could bring to differentiate ourselves around the customer experience that a local manufacturing plant provides us the flexibility to do. >> were these jobs that were elsewhere that are essentially being imported into the country, or are these new jobs? >> these will be new jobs we're creating. as you may not know, we're the faste fastest-growing pc player in north america for the last nine quarters and have expanded our presence in
what does this say about our economy and about what's going on in china? joins us is david, lenov ooleno president of north america. how did this get decided, and when does it all come down? >> what we will announce today is we're expanding or facility in north carolina to bring u.s. manufacturing starting in january through our think product portfolio. our think pad notebooks and think server workstations and servers. we're very excited about this. it's really bringing a differentiator...
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Sep 26, 2012
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they're not doing that in any sector of the economy. this is clearly blowing smoke. >> j.d., let me give you the last word because we are running out of time. don't you think that with all of the dysfunctionalty that goes on in congress they will find some sort of common ground so we don't have the taxmageddon? >> i don't think anyone has confidence that's the case. we all hope they'll get their act together and prevent this huge tax increase from hitting the economy. no one has any particular confidence. if you're a businessman, you're the labor demand. you're not going to hire anybody without knowing. you're going to wait if you can. most of them can wait. it's just going to get worse. >> all right. gentlemen, thank you both. it is one of the real thorny issues of our time right now as we head toward the election. former credit investment banker was reportedly arrested earlier today by london police. u.s. authorities are criminally charged him back in february alleging he and two other creditors conspired to inflate the value of mortg
they're not doing that in any sector of the economy. this is clearly blowing smoke. >> j.d., let me give you the last word because we are running out of time. don't you think that with all of the dysfunctionalty that goes on in congress they will find some sort of common ground so we don't have the taxmageddon? >> i don't think anyone has confidence that's the case. we all hope they'll get their act together and prevent this huge tax increase from hitting the economy. no one has any...
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i would tell you, i do think the chinese economy in particular, the export economy, is structurally broken. i think that's a big change. i've been going to china since 1995. i think there's a fundamental shift in what's going on. we saw that in the caterpillar numbers. you saw that in the federal express numbers. some people think that's cyclical. i think there's prob a m secular component to it. >> this is a very important point you're making because china's growth has been driven by the export economy. you're saying that it's in trouble, it's broken. >> i'm not saying it's broken. i'm saying there's a transition going on towards consumption exporting to europe and real estate are no longer going to be their drivers nap will probably create more volatility than we've had in the past. >> how easy is it to expect this transition? you're buying in the consumer space. >> yes, and you have the transition of the government. one of the other big messages we picked up over there, particularly in i understondia, emerging market central banks, they're very concerned about what the traditional bank
i would tell you, i do think the chinese economy in particular, the export economy, is structurally broken. i think that's a big change. i've been going to china since 1995. i think there's a fundamental shift in what's going on. we saw that in the caterpillar numbers. you saw that in the federal express numbers. some people think that's cyclical. i think there's prob a m secular component to it. >> this is a very important point you're making because china's growth has been driven by the...
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the feds attempt to jump start the economy by any means necessary. think about how the people might have sold in october last year. why doesn't this calendar style of investing interest me to make money? simple. every year there is a way to make money. let me give you examples of why this is a lazy force that is nothing but a lovy blanket. first, when these numbers or patterns were created, the u.s. was in control of its own destiny. our fings ago system is connected with theirs. do you think any of the historical data takes on that shift that we have to deal with? no, do you think i would be ringing a gong five years ago? i think this is kind of a recent event you know. gong show. i cannot recall another time when the federal reserve is taking the step to lower the -- if the economy gets better. that means you have to lower stocks. history shows it has to be one. of course it didn't pay to sell those stocks in september. september is the worst month for investing. third, there is apple. we've never had a $600 billion stock before. we've never had a
the feds attempt to jump start the economy by any means necessary. think about how the people might have sold in october last year. why doesn't this calendar style of investing interest me to make money? simple. every year there is a way to make money. let me give you examples of why this is a lazy force that is nothing but a lovy blanket. first, when these numbers or patterns were created, the u.s. was in control of its own destiny. our fings ago system is connected with theirs. do you think...
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even if the economy gets stronger and you expect the feds to start tightening. that is why tonight we are checking up on a group of stocks that are renowned for beautiful yields. the real estate investment trusts. why? consider the ishares dow jones real estate etf. you can't decide on a single reit so you buy the whole cohort instead. it is up 12.9%. but in the last few weeks, we have been worried because this has been body slammed. we want to know if this is a garden variety pull back or the start of something worse. tonight we are going off the charts to figure out if the real estate investment stakes are done. he is a brilliant technician and perhaps the most reliable guy i have been dealing with on charts. take a look at the iyr daily chart. you can see that over the last few weeks this thing has been put through the proverbial meat grinder. is this a pull back off the recent time or are there signs of something more sinister? there is a developing head and shoulders pattern here. there you go. that is one of the most dreaded topping formations out there. n
even if the economy gets stronger and you expect the feds to start tightening. that is why tonight we are checking up on a group of stocks that are renowned for beautiful yields. the real estate investment trusts. why? consider the ishares dow jones real estate etf. you can't decide on a single reit so you buy the whole cohort instead. it is up 12.9%. but in the last few weeks, we have been worried because this has been body slammed. we want to know if this is a garden variety pull back or the...
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Sep 26, 2012
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the economy needs manufacturing. machines, tools, people making stuff. companies have to invest in making things. infrastructure, construction, production. we need it now more than ever. chevron's putting more than $8 billion dollars back in the u.s. economy this year. in pipes, cement, steel, jobs, energy. we need to get the wheels turning. i'm proud of that. making real things... for real. ...that make a real difference. ♪ >>> finally mitt romney's got something good to feel good about. i'm talking about unemployment. specifically, what we heard from paychex, the second largest pay rolling company in america. especially hiring small businesses, which irks main clients. last night we got results from paykhex and many considered it disappointing. now, i think paychex is a well-run business. while the company is facing a tough environment, the quarter wasn't terrible by any stretch of the imagination. it beat it by a penny on a 40 cents basis and 2% year over year. last time i thought that was the hugely important key metric. however, the growth year se
the economy needs manufacturing. machines, tools, people making stuff. companies have to invest in making things. infrastructure, construction, production. we need it now more than ever. chevron's putting more than $8 billion dollars back in the u.s. economy this year. in pipes, cement, steel, jobs, energy. we need to get the wheels turning. i'm proud of that. making real things... for real. ...that make a real difference. ♪ >>> finally mitt romney's got something good to feel good...
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they've seen their economy falling. they've seen very high rates of unemployment. as high as 50% for young people. we also saw violence in athens greece, today as well. they were protesting there as well because you could say, same story. another round of cuts of government spending which will mean lower salaries, pensions that could be affected as well. a lot of the details haven't come out, but they kind of know the story already. this is athens. once again, molotov cocktails as we have seen in the past. tear gas being used by the police to disperse the protesters. a lot of back and forth. that lasted just a couple of hours. it was smaller than we've seen in the past. but once again, two capitals in europe erupting in the last two days, today, in fact over austerity measures being imposed as they try to balance their budgets. >> michelle caruso-cabrera, thank you for that update. beakers, i'm going to you. the worse things get, the more likely it will be that spain actually seeks a bailout, right? borrowing costs have to remain high. 32 basis points rose in spani
they've seen their economy falling. they've seen very high rates of unemployment. as high as 50% for young people. we also saw violence in athens greece, today as well. they were protesting there as well because you could say, same story. another round of cuts of government spending which will mean lower salaries, pensions that could be affected as well. a lot of the details haven't come out, but they kind of know the story already. this is athens. once again, molotov cocktails as we have seen...
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tonight, cramer is talking to the ceo to get a real read on the economy, just ahead. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on tweeter. have a question? tweet cramer or send him an e-mail or give us a call at 1800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney.cnbc.com. >>> here's one area where playing football and managing money have a lot in common. we call it the check down. that's when the quarterback considers whom he should pass the ball to. checking down one receiver after another, find out who's open. who can score. and then hits him while he's uncovered. the best quarterbacks have a list in their heads about who to go to first, second, third, fourth, sometimes even fifth. money managers perform the same check down too. we just don't call it that. you can follow along at action alerts plus, and i do it for this show as i search for ideas that have enough merit to be noted on "mad money." how does it work? okay, today's the beginning of a new quarter but what like to do at the start of the quarter is look at the win
tonight, cramer is talking to the ceo to get a real read on the economy, just ahead. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on tweeter. have a question? tweet cramer or send him an e-mail or give us a call at 1800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney.cnbc.com. >>> here's one area where playing football and managing money have a lot in common. we call it the check down. that's when the quarterback...
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citing deteriorating outlook of the global economy. so not a great way to start the morning. >> no, not great, but i like seeing what we did -- i saw ge and i was going to tell whoever thinks that we need to kiss up to them still -- >> minority partner. >> they are. but comcast would have been a better -- or we could have done both. and did i see something that it had first quarter, second quarter, third quarter? what do i need in the fourth quarter to get to the 30%? do we hahave that anymore? is that gone? no, they don't have it. >> i saw the dow, s&p and nasdaq. >> what did it add up to? adds up to like 15 or so. >> i just saw for this quarter. >> oh, it didn't show first quarter, second quarter -- >> no. >> there are corporate headlines. people started getting plaq blackberries? >> they beat expectations. >> they lost money, they beat expectations. >> but they added subscribers. >> subscribers in developed countries. the point is a developing -- in the developing countries, i mean -- >> that's us. >> no, developing. >> okay. >> so
citing deteriorating outlook of the global economy. so not a great way to start the morning. >> no, not great, but i like seeing what we did -- i saw ge and i was going to tell whoever thinks that we need to kiss up to them still -- >> minority partner. >> they are. but comcast would have been a better -- or we could have done both. and did i see something that it had first quarter, second quarter, third quarter? what do i need in the fourth quarter to get to the 30%? do we...
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it won't help an economy plagued by uncertainty. it could complicate the tightening of policy when it is time for the fed to tighten and it could raise rates in other sectors. however, most participants believe the risk of qe as detailed there could be managed. >>> now a couple issues here. the effectiveness of the calendar date guidance. remember they extended that into 2015. but there's a big debate on the fed about whether or not this is effective. they worry that the change could be seen as an economic downgrade and not have a positive economic impact. they also said they prefer economic factors to calendar dates. sounds easy, right? no. because they can't agree on whether to use numerical targets and what they should be. they're discussing th ining the discussing these numeric targets. >>> that's a lot of information to process. we're going to do what we are calling the fed minutes in a minute. you have 60 seconds to break it down, pull out the nuggets that we need to know about and that are going to move the markets. your time
it won't help an economy plagued by uncertainty. it could complicate the tightening of policy when it is time for the fed to tighten and it could raise rates in other sectors. however, most participants believe the risk of qe as detailed there could be managed. >>> now a couple issues here. the effectiveness of the calendar date guidance. remember they extended that into 2015. but there's a big debate on the fed about whether or not this is effective. they worry that the change could...
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i still think the economy in the u.s. looks better than most people would argue. the up tick in housing may be very helpful to the unemployment situation. so i wouldn't get overly bearish on the economy either, given that sector is finally starting to improve. >> rick santelli, as i mentioned, midday the results of those stress tests on the spanish banks came in not as bad as feared. that took the sheen off the treasury rally we'd had to that point. what are you watching otherwise right now? >> well, it took the sheen off, but we're still a couple basis points down on the day. we're still down a dozen basis points on the week. traders are going to continue to monitor the realities of spain, the realities of whether a bailout will be requested. you know, as carol knows from her book, if 90% of all the entrepreneurs don't succeed, it's not going to help them in the stock markets are up. what will help them is if the fundmentals are up. >> wow, carol, you have a fan of your book. >> we're chicagoans. we stick together. >> where do you stand on europe right now? are w
i still think the economy in the u.s. looks better than most people would argue. the up tick in housing may be very helpful to the unemployment situation. so i wouldn't get overly bearish on the economy either, given that sector is finally starting to improve. >> rick santelli, as i mentioned, midday the results of those stress tests on the spanish banks came in not as bad as feared. that took the sheen off the treasury rally we'd had to that point. what are you watching otherwise right...
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yeah, we might get cheaper gas eventually, but at what cost to the global economy? >>> then, we're going to debate what is better for your money, an obama win or a romney win. >>> plus, the one thing that wall street wants to hear at tonight's debate. >>> and later on, american airlines says all the seats are fixed. >>> lots of things coming up at the top of the hour. back to you on "power lunch." >>> the world's top asset managers and investors are meeting today to discuss the economic landscape and how to navigate it. our david faber is with them at the barefoot economic summit in larue, texas. >> i've joined by founder, cio of golden tree house and management. they're in bank loans, they're in bond, distressed investments, private equity structured products. credit is the name of the game when it comes to golden tree. 16 billion-plus in assets. talk about high-yield credit overall. high yield continues to have funds moving in to it. are we towards the end of this bull run? >> we certainly are in the end of the bull run of low default rates. i believe -- i'm not t
yeah, we might get cheaper gas eventually, but at what cost to the global economy? >>> then, we're going to debate what is better for your money, an obama win or a romney win. >>> plus, the one thing that wall street wants to hear at tonight's debate. >>> and later on, american airlines says all the seats are fixed. >>> lots of things coming up at the top of the hour. back to you on "power lunch." >>> the world's top asset managers and...
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what's happening is the economy is delevering, which is leading to slow growth. i think one of the key macro considerations -- we tend to think of macro in risk management terms, we're an equity long/short fund, stock pickers -- but the reality of is this environment is that you have to have a view and you have to manage risk and so one of the key considerations is when does velocity pick up, how does it pick up, what does that mean in terms of equity prices, what does it mean in terms of inflation. >> what do you think. >> what does it mean in terms of bond prices? >> we've just looked at that chart. it should pick up. there's good inflation and bad, in a way. >> that's right. and good inflation, ie increases in home prices, increases in wages, those would be positive things. positive investments as long as they were at a pace that made sense. bad inflation like oil prices, commodity prices, that would be a tough thing for the market. >> does this worry you? >> well, it worries me in the sense that -- i mean i think about this as all this liquidity that's if the
what's happening is the economy is delevering, which is leading to slow growth. i think one of the key macro considerations -- we tend to think of macro in risk management terms, we're an equity long/short fund, stock pickers -- but the reality of is this environment is that you have to have a view and you have to manage risk and so one of the key considerations is when does velocity pick up, how does it pick up, what does that mean in terms of equity prices, what does it mean in terms of...
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that suggests the economy may not be so hot, right? >> set the stage. we just downgrade the second quarter. we went from 1.7 to 1.3. we talked about that yesterday. >> this i consistent with that. >> exactly. we thought third quarter might have a two handle on it. we're taking that two handle off. before i came on goldman sachs has a report saying they're looking at 1.9. i see some over 1.8, 1.7. slow mediocre growth continues. i think the key being, can we resolve the issues that have hung over the american economy from spain? >> is madrid more important than chicago? >> at least it is today. we wanted to see what the needs would be for the spanish banks. the numbers that they put out today after this exhaustive examination. >> do you breath numbers? >> the market believes them now. they came about in line with expectations. the number could change depending on what happens with the spanish economy and if real estate prices fall even further. you think more of this like a tradeoff. if the capital requirements had been even bigger it would have meant th
that suggests the economy may not be so hot, right? >> set the stage. we just downgrade the second quarter. we went from 1.7 to 1.3. we talked about that yesterday. >> this i consistent with that. >> exactly. we thought third quarter might have a two handle on it. we're taking that two handle off. before i came on goldman sachs has a report saying they're looking at 1.9. i see some over 1.8, 1.7. slow mediocre growth continues. i think the key being, can we resolve the issues...
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Oct 1, 2012
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and a read on the global economy from industrial real estate power house, plus getting set up for the fourth quarter coming at the top of the hour on "mad money." stay tuned. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. governor of getting it done. you know how to dance... with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. this is awesome. [ male announcer ] yes, it is, business pro. yes, it is. go national. go like a pro. with the fidelity stock screener, you can try strategies from independent experts and see what criteria they use. such as a 5% yield on dividend-paying stocks. then you can customize the strategies and narrow down to exactly those stocks you want to follow. i'm mark allen of fidelity investments. the expert strategies feature is one more innovative reason serious investors are choosing fidelity. now get 200 free trades when you open an account. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they a
and a read on the global economy from industrial real estate power house, plus getting set up for the fourth quarter coming at the top of the hour on "mad money." stay tuned. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. governor of getting it done. you know how to dance... with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. this is awesome. [ male...
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healing and -- >> the real economy, not just the stock market bernanke economy. >> particularly in the small mid cap space we're investing, the companies tend to be less international and tend to be doing well. most, if not all are having record earnings this year. there's much so be worried about in the economy but the underlying economy is healing. >> you're talking about the consumer strength basically? most companies are consumer oriented. >> the consumer has been strong, industrial manufacturing has been strong, software has been strong, you know, it's -- i'm not generalizing the whole economy but our job is to find value in the market and certainly our companies are building cash flows and where they're importantly finding ways to unlock the value. >> joe is a fan of jack-in-the-box. >> i am. in contrast -- >> i am a fan of chico's. >> in contrast to other fast food chains although there aren't many i'm not a fan of. >> that's obvious. >> i like jack-in-the-box, too. the play on jack in the box, they used to have a corporate parent in the day so they wind up opening their own sto
healing and -- >> the real economy, not just the stock market bernanke economy. >> particularly in the small mid cap space we're investing, the companies tend to be less international and tend to be doing well. most, if not all are having record earnings this year. there's much so be worried about in the economy but the underlying economy is healing. >> you're talking about the consumer strength basically? most companies are consumer oriented. >> the consumer has been...
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economy in 2013. we could get a point, point and a half up on gdp just from a revival in the housing. europe is a mess. i've thought the euro has to go down, went above 130, is a little lower now. they have to bring that down some. i've been stung by that. that's the only way i think they'll save the periphery. the periphery is going to be a mess for many years to come. there are fiscal reforms that will be slow and painful. as far as china is concerned it's stabilizing there, it's not easy to come off a mammoth real estate boom. they're doing a better job than we did. >> craig barrett is our guest host today, former intel chairman and ceo and talked about how technology is going to go the same way as the international markets, 70% to 80% of the sales of big tech companies are. do you worry about it coming back to our shores anything that's happening overseas and affecting our own home companies, too? >> there's no question. what is it, 40%, 45% of the profits of the s&p come from global non-u.s. sale
economy in 2013. we could get a point, point and a half up on gdp just from a revival in the housing. europe is a mess. i've thought the euro has to go down, went above 130, is a little lower now. they have to bring that down some. i've been stung by that. that's the only way i think they'll save the periphery. the periphery is going to be a mess for many years to come. there are fiscal reforms that will be slow and painful. as far as china is concerned it's stabilizing there, it's not easy to...